An experiment in forecasting Premier League relegation (Part 1)

With the re-start of the premier League we can finally get back to action rather than talking. This also means it is time to put all these lockdowns theories to the test. Previously I had looked at the relegation picture by comparing the fixtures of the bottom six teams. While others such as Opta have …

The changes in Bundesliga form since the re-start

At the time of writing this blog Bundesliga teams had played either five or six games under the new post-lockdown rules. Having a look at performance it is perhaps not surprising how teams towards the top and bottom of the table are faring better than before the lockdown. The graph below shows the difference in …

The Motivation Factor in Football

Could the Premier League’s New Normal offer a glimpse of hope for Norwich? Anyone who has had a football bet on a Saturday afternoon will be familiar with the old adage that towards the end of the season upsets happen as teams fighting for survival are more motivated than mid-table secure teams. Of course if …

Will sporting integrity outweigh Premier League club self-interest?

Analysis of the outcome of different ways to end the 2019/20 Premier League season suggests some clubs might have very different objectives for upcoming talks on restarting football. As the Premier League meets to find a resolution to the season, almost everyone is hoping there can be some way to finish the remaining games of …

Are Premier league clubs gambling with shirt sponsorship

The recent decision by bookmakers William Hill to close more than 400 shops will reduce revenues to the sport of horse racing by an estimated £50-£60 million. The story is a cautionary tale for several football clubs about the need to plan in advance. The rise and fall of Fixed Odds Betting Terminals The story …

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